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Boris Johnson Throws Down The Gauntlet: No Backstop, Not Even Temporary
07-29-2019, 03:52 AM,
Boris Johnson Throws Down The Gauntlet: No Backstop, Not Even Temporary
Boris Johnson Throws Down The Gauntlet: No Backstop, Not Even Temporary

<p><a href=""><em>Authored by Mike Shedlock via MishTalk,</em></a></p>

<p><strong>Boris Johnson laid down the ground rules</strong> for discussion with the EU. <strong>The EU says it won't accept them.</strong></p>

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<p>On Thursday Boris Johnson threw down the gauntlet with a call for the total abolition of the backstop. <strong>He also said the Government was “turbocharging” preparations for a no-deal break on 
Oct 31 if the EU refused to engage.</strong></p>

<p>The Telegraph asks <a href="">Will the EU blink first as pressure builds towards 'no deal'?</a></p>

<p>At a stroke, Mr Johnson appeared to sweep away the camp, nominally led by the Attorney-General Geoffrey Cox, that still believed that with a tweak - perhaps a time-limit or a unilateral exit-mechanism - the backstop could be rendered acceptable.</p>

<p>Not only did he announce the Irish backstop must be abolished, but he went further, turning the tables to set conditions for any future talks with the European Union.</p>

<p>EU diplomats and officials in Brussels have been clear that this will not happen, even if that puts the UK and EU on a collision course towards ‘no deal’ over the apparently intractable problem of the Irish border.</p>

<p>It is a wearingly familiar argument. Mr Johnson contends that the entire UK should be able to leave the EU customs union and single market while preserving a status quo border in Ireland.</p>

<p>The question now, is who will blink first as pressure builds towards an impending ‘no deal’ in the autumn?</p>

<p>Diplomats and officials were clear on Thursday that Mr Johnson’s statement, taken together with his decision to purge the Cabinet of all forces of compromise, could only be explained by a desire to create the conditions for an election.</p>

<p>The only question in European minds is whether that election comes as a result of Parliament blocking ‘no deal’ - and Mr Johnson being forced to request an extension to Article 50 - or after a ‘no deal’ has already happened. </p>

<h3><u><strong>Perhaps No One Blinks</strong></u></h3>

<p><strong>Without a doubt, Johnson laid the groundwork for an early election.</strong></p>

<p>But the notion Johnson will seek and extension other than for a week or so tie up loose ends in preparation of no deal seems silly. Also silly is the notion parliament will block no deal.</p>

<p>Parliament has no such power other than to force an election. And it's now likely too late to force an election in time to kill Brexit.</p>

<p>Besides, with Labour splintered, it's likely Johnson will achieve a strong working majority in the next election.</p>

<p>Meanwhile, as long as both sides believe the other side will blink, neither will.</p>

<p><strong>It may take a crippling recession in the EU before it comes to its senses.</strong></p>

<p>Germany, EU exporters in general, will get crushed in the event of no deal.</p><img src="" height="1" width="1" alt=""/>

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