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Confidence In Accuracy Of U.S. Election Is At Record Low: Gallup
10-09-2020, 08:33 PM,
#1
Confidence In Accuracy Of U.S. Election Is At Record Low: Gallup
Confidence In Accuracy Of U.S. Election Is At Record Low: Gallup

<span property="schema:name" class="field field--name-title field--type-string field--label-hidden">Confidence In Accuracy Of U.S. Election Is At Record Low: Gallup</span>
<span rel="schema:author" class="field field--name-uid field--type-entity-reference field--label-hidden">
<a href="https://www.zerohedge.com/users/tyler-durden">Tyler Durden</a>
</span>
<span property="schema:dateCreated" content="2020-10-10T00:20:00+00:00" class="field field--name-created field--type-created field--label-hidden">Fri, 10/09/2020 - 20:20</span>

<div property="schema:text" class="clearfix text-formatted field field--name-body field--type-text-with-summary field--label-hidden field__item"><p><em>By Justin McCarthy at <a href="https://news.gallup.com/poll/321665/confidence-accuracy-election-matches-record-low.aspx?utm_source=alert&utm_medium=email&utm_content=morelink&utm_campaign=syndication">Gallup,</a></em></p>

<p>Fifty-nine percent of Americans say they are "very" (19%) or "somewhat confident" (40%) that votes in the upcoming presidential election will be accurately cast and counted throughout the country, matching the low Gallup recorded in 2008.</p>

<p><a data-image-external-href="" data-image-href="/s3/files/inline-images/el1.jpg?itok=YodZpSjc" data-link-option="0" href="https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/el1.jpg?itok=YodZpSjc"><picture><!--[if IE 9]><video style="display: none;"><![endif]--><source srcset="https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com/s3fs-public/styles/inline_image_desktop/public/inline-images/el1.jpg?itok=V9pVKhGc 1x" media="all and (min-width: 1280px)" type="image/jpeg"></source><source srcset="https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com/s3fs-public/styles/inline_image_desktop/public/inline-images/el1.jpg?itok=V9pVKhGc 1x" media="all and (min-width: 480px)" type="image/jpeg"></source><source srcset="https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com/s3fs-public/styles/inline_image_desktop/public/inline-images/el1.jpg?itok=V9pVKhGc 1x, https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-...k=V9pVKhGc 2x" media="all and (min-width: 1024px)" type="image/jpeg"></source><source srcset="https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com/s3fs-public/styles/inline_image_desktop/public/inline-images/el1.jpg?itok=V9pVKhGc 1x" media="all and (min-width: 768px)" type="image/jpeg"></source><source srcset="https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com/s3fs-public/styles/inline_image_mobile/public/inline-images/el1.jpg?itok=YodZpSjc 1x" type="image/jpeg"></source><!--[if IE 9]></video><![endif]--><img data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="5bbb0173-de6e-4579-89c0-5b47f0f93eec" data-responsive-image-style="inline_images" height="282" width="500" src="https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com/s3fs-public/inline-images/el1.jpg" alt="" typeof="foaf:Image" /></picture></a></p>

<p>The latest figure, collected in Gallup's Sept. 14-28 poll, comes at a time when President Donald Trump has repeatedly questioned the validity of voting this year, which will include widespread mail voting amid the coronavirus pandemic. As in 2008, the country is grappling with a global economic crisis, and Americans' <a href="https://news.gallup.com/poll/1669/general-mood-country.aspx">satisfaction with the way things are going in the U.S. is near its historical low point</a>.</p>

<p><a data-image-external-href="" data-image-href="/s3/files/inline-images/el2.png?itok=jw6QcYkA" data-link-option="0" href="https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/el2.png?itok=jw6QcYkA"><picture><!--[if IE 9]><video style="display: none;"><![endif]--><source srcset="https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com/s3fs-public/styles/inline_image_desktop/public/inline-images/el2.png?itok=MQEKoi00 1x" media="all and (min-width: 1280px)" type="image/png"></source><source srcset="https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com/s3fs-public/styles/inline_image_desktop/public/inline-images/el2.png?itok=MQEKoi00 1x" media="all and (min-width: 480px)" type="image/png"></source><source srcset="https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com/s3fs-public/styles/inline_image_desktop/public/inline-images/el2.png?itok=MQEKoi00 1x, https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-...k=MQEKoi00 2x" media="all and (min-width: 1024px)" type="image/png"></source><source srcset="https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com/s3fs-public/styles/inline_image_desktop/public/inline-images/el2.png?itok=MQEKoi00 1x" media="all and (min-width: 768px)" type="image/png"></source><source srcset="https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com/s3fs-public/styles/inline_image_mobile/public/inline-images/el2.png?itok=jw6QcYkA 1x" type="image/png"></source><!--[if IE 9]></video><![endif]--><img data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="e6bbd68e-f448-4656-8e07-927f4cd54db2" data-responsive-image-style="inline_images" height="278" width="500" src="https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com/s3fs-public/inline-images/el2.png" alt="" typeof="foaf:Image" /></picture></a></p>

<p>As would be expected given Trump's view, Republicans and Republican-leaning independents (44%) are expressing far less confidence than Democrats and Democratic leaners (74%) in the accuracy of the election.</p>

<p>The 11-percentage-point drop since 2018 in the national figure on confidence in election accuracy is largely driven by a 34-point drop among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents. The GOP's current 44% level of confidence is the lowest Gallup has recorded for identifiers/leaners of either major political party in its trend dating back to 2004.</p>

<p>Democrats, on the other hand, have become slightly <em>more</em> confident in election accuracy since 2018, though this falls short of this group's high of 83% in 2016.</p>

<p><a data-image-external-href="" data-image-href="/s3/files/inline-images/el3.png?itok=AHgBKr0h" data-link-option="0" href="https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/el3.png?itok=AHgBKr0h"><picture><!--[if IE 9]><video style="display: none;"><![endif]--><source srcset="https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com/s3fs-public/styles/inline_image_desktop/public/inline-images/el3.png?itok=-DeJAjC7 1x" media="all and (min-width: 1280px)" type="image/png"></source><source srcset="https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com/s3fs-public/styles/inline_image_desktop/public/inline-images/el3.png?itok=-DeJAjC7 1x" media="all and (min-width: 480px)" type="image/png"></source><source srcset="https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com/s3fs-public/styles/inline_image_desktop/public/inline-images/el3.png?itok=-DeJAjC7 1x, https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-...k=-DeJAjC7 2x" media="all and (min-width: 1024px)" type="image/png"></source><source srcset="https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com/s3fs-public/styles/inline_image_desktop/public/inline-images/el3.png?itok=-DeJAjC7 1x" media="all and (min-width: 768px)" type="image/png"></source><source srcset="https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com/s3fs-public/styles/inline_image_mobile/public/inline-images/el3.png?itok=AHgBKr0h 1x" type="image/png"></source><!--[if IE 9]></video><![endif]--><img data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="81f159ae-ccff-4a44-a765-ac049f3afbf5" data-responsive-image-style="inline_images" height="331" width="500" src="https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com/s3fs-public/inline-images/el3.png" alt="" typeof="foaf:Image" /></picture></a></p>

<p><strong>Americans More Confident in Local Vote-Counting</strong></p>

<p>Americans are more likely to express confidence in the accuracy of voting counts where they personally vote. About four in five say they are "very" (47%) or "somewhat confident" (32%) that votes will be accurately cast and counted locally. The percentage of Americans who are "very" confident in local vote counting is more than double the level for votes counted nationally.</p>

<p>The combined percentage of Americans who are at least somewhat confident in accurate local vote counting has waned over time, however, from a high of 91% in 2006 to a new low of 79% today.</p>

<p><strong>Postal Service Delays, Fraudulent Means of Casting Votes Seen as Biggest Problems</strong></p>

<p>Of four possible complications that could occur in the election, absentee ballots not being counted because they arrive late is the one that Americans see as the most problematic, with 55% predicting it will be a "major problem." Nearly as many, 53%, say people casting fraudulent votes is a major problem.</p>

<p>Forty-seven percent of U.S. adults say that eligible voters not being allowed to cast a vote is a big problem for the election -- much higher than the 25% to 34% range Gallup recorded between 2004 and 2016. Forty-five percent say that ineligible voters casting votes is a major problem, similar to the previous high of 44% in 2008.</p>

<p><a data-image-external-href="" data-image-href="/s3/files/inline-images/el5.png?itok=NU1Lcbhb" data-link-option="0" href="https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/el5.png?itok=NU1Lcbhb"><picture><!--[if IE 9]><video style="display: none;"><![endif]--><source srcset="https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com/s3fs-public/styles/inline_image_desktop/public/inline-images/el5.png?itok=8hCe0zcK 1x" media="all and (min-width: 1280px)" type="image/png"></source><source srcset="https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com/s3fs-public/styles/inline_image_desktop/public/inline-images/el5.png?itok=8hCe0zcK 1x" media="all and (min-width: 480px)" type="image/png"></source><source srcset="https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com/s3fs-public/styles/inline_image_desktop/public/inline-images/el5.png?itok=8hCe0zcK 1x, https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-...k=8hCe0zcK 2x" media="all and (min-width: 1024px)" type="image/png"></source><source srcset="https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com/s3fs-public/styles/inline_image_desktop/public/inline-images/el5.png?itok=8hCe0zcK 1x" media="all and (min-width: 768px)" type="image/png"></source><source srcset="https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com/s3fs-public/styles/inline_image_mobile/public/inline-images/el5.png?itok=NU1Lcbhb 1x" type="image/png"></source><!--[if IE 9]></video><![endif]--><img data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="35237b71-66b1-4de5-a3e5-a7005a295ae5" data-responsive-image-style="inline_images" height="304" width="500" src="https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com/s3fs-public/inline-images/el5.png" alt="" typeof="foaf:Image" /></picture></a></p>

<p>Late-arriving absentee ballots are the only voting issue that majorities of both major political parties see as a major problem: 51% of Republicans and 63% of Democrats.</p>

<p>Republicans are more than twice as likely as Democrats to express concern about fraudulent means of casting votes and ineligible voters casting votes, while Democrats are about twice as likely as Republicans to anticipate that eligible voters not being allowed to cast a vote will be a major problem.</p>

<p><a data-image-external-href="" data-image-href="/s3/files/inline-images/el6.jpg?itok=g3wG7j68" data-link-option="0" href="https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/el6.jpg?itok=g3wG7j68"><picture><!--[if IE 9]><video style="display: none;"><![endif]--><source srcset="https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com/s3fs-public/styles/inline_image_desktop/public/inline-images/el6.jpg?itok=mV3VFrkr 1x" media="all and (min-width: 1280px)" type="image/jpeg"></source><source srcset="https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com/s3fs-public/styles/inline_image_desktop/public/inline-images/el6.jpg?itok=mV3VFrkr 1x" media="all and (min-width: 480px)" type="image/jpeg"></source><source srcset="https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com/s3fs-public/styles/inline_image_desktop/public/inline-images/el6.jpg?itok=mV3VFrkr 1x, https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-...k=mV3VFrkr 2x" media="all and (min-width: 1024px)" type="image/jpeg"></source><source srcset="https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com/s3fs-public/styles/inline_image_desktop/public/inline-images/el6.jpg?itok=mV3VFrkr 1x" media="all and (min-width: 768px)" type="image/jpeg"></source><source srcset="https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com/s3fs-public/styles/inline_image_mobile/public/inline-images/el6.jpg?itok=g3wG7j68 1x" type="image/jpeg"></source><!--[if IE 9]></video><![endif]--><img data-entity-type="file" data-entity-uuid="ec738015-32f3-4dde-8e23-968e50fc5ac1" data-responsive-image-style="inline_images" height="188" width="500" src="https://zh-prod-1cc738ca-7d3b-4a72-b792-20bd8d8fa069.storage.googleapis.com/s3fs-public/inline-images/el6.jpg" alt="" typeof="foaf:Image" /></picture></a></p>

<p><strong>Bottom Line</strong></p>

<p>Though most Americans have confidence in the accuracy of vote counting nationwide in the upcoming presidential election, the latest figure is lower than it has been in most prior elections. Confidence is particularly low among Republicans, likely reflecting the repeated warnings of their party's standard-bearer to be on the lookout for fraud. As is often seen in public attitudes, Americans are much more confident about vote-counting in their local area than they are about the national situation, but even this is down in the past decade.</p>

<p>Sizable percentages of U.S. adults see major problems with voting in the coming elections, but these views vary: Republicans are more concerned about issues of voter fraud, and Democrats are more concerned about eligible voters being kept out of the voting process. The one uniting issue is late deliveries of ballots from the U.S. Postal Service, which is something the Postal Service itself has raised concerns about.</p>

<p>Even before the challenges posed by COVID-19 and Trump's open skepticism of the process, the Gallup World Poll in 2019 found that the U.S. had "<a href="https://news.gallup.com/poll/285608/faith-elections-relatively-short-supply.aspx">one of the worst ratings across the world's wealthiest democracies</a>" when it came to confidence in the honesty of elections.</p>
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