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Brazil (Like Russia) Is Under Attack By Hyrbid War

<p><a href="http://thesaker.is/brazil-like-russia-under-attack-by-hybrid-war/"><em>Submitted by Pepe Escobar via TheSaker.is,</em></a></p> <div class="article__summary summary "><strong>Color revolutions would never be enough; Exceptionalistan is always on the lookout for major strategic upgrades capable of ensuring perpetual Empire of Chaos hegemony.</strong></div> <div class="article__summary summary ">&nbsp;</div> <div class="article__summary summary ">The ideological matrix and the modus operandi of color revolutions by now are a matter of public domain. Not so much the concept of Unconventional War (UW).</div> <div class="article__text text "> <p>UW was spelled out by the 2010 Special Forces Unconventional Warfare <a href="http://www.al-akhbar.com/sites/default/files/pdfs/Special_Forces_Report.pdf">manual</a>. Here&rsquo;s the money quote:</p> <blockquote><div class="quote_start"><div></div></div><div class="quote_end"><div></div></div><p><em>&ldquo;The intent of US [Unconventional Warfare] UW efforts is to exploit a hostile power&rsquo;s political, military, economic, and psychological vulnerabilities by developing and sustaining resistance forces to accomplish US strategic objectives&hellip; For the foreseeable future, US forces will predominantly engage in irregular warfare (IW) operations.&rdquo;</em></p> </blockquote> <p><em>&ldquo;Hostile&rdquo;</em> powers are meant not only in a military sense; any state that dares to defy any significant plank of the Washington-centric world &ldquo;order&rdquo; &ndash; from Sudan to Argentina &ndash; may be branded <em>&ldquo;hostile&rdquo;.</em></p> <p><strong>The dangerous liaisons between color revolutions and UW have now fully blossomed as Hybrid War; a warped case of Flowers of Evil.</strong> A color revolution is nothing but the first stage of what will become Hybrid War. And Hybrid War can be <a href="http://strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pubs/parameters/Articles/1992/1992%20mann.pdf"><em>interpreted</em></a> essentially as the weaponization of&nbsp; chaos theory &ndash; an absolute conceptual darling of the US military (<em>&ldquo;politics is the continuation of war by linguistic means&rdquo;</em>). My 2014 book <a href="http://www.amazon.com/Empire-Chaos-Roving-Eye-Collection-ebook/dp/B00OYVYD3G/ref=sr_1_1?s=books&amp;ie=UTF8&amp;qid=1458842922&amp;sr=1-1&amp;keywords=empire+of+chaos+escobar">Empire of Chaos</a>&nbsp;essentially tracks its myriad manifestations.</p> <p>This very well-argued three-part thesis <a href="http://www.globalresearch.ca/predicting-the-next-hybrid-wars/5515215">clarifies </a>the central objective behind a major Hybrid War; <strong><u><em>&ldquo;to disrupt multipolar transnational connective projects through externally provoked identity conflicts (ethnic, religious, political, etc.) within a targeted transit state.&rdquo;</em></u></strong></p> <p><strong>The BRICS &ndash; an extremely dirty word/concept in the Beltway/Wall Street axis &ndash; had to be the prime targets of Hybrid War. </strong>For myriad reasons. Among them; the push for trade and commerce in their own currencies, bypassing the US dollar; the creation of the BRICS development bank; the avowed drive towards Eurasia integration, symbolized by the now converging China-led New Silk Roads &ndash; or One Belt, One Road (OBOR), in its official terminology &ndash; and Russia-led Eurasia Economic Union (EEU).</p> <p><strong>This implies that Hybrid War sooner rather than later will hit Central Asia; Kyrgysztan, a prime lab for Exceptionalistan experiments of the color revolution kind, is the ideal candidate.</strong></p> <p><em><strong>As it stands, Hybrid War is very much active in Russia&rsquo;s western borderlands (Ukraine) but still embryonic in Xinjiang, China&rsquo;s Far West, which Beijing micromanages like a hawk.</strong></em> Hybrid War is already being applied to prevent a crucial Pipelineistan gambit; the construction of Turkish Stream. And will also be fully applied to <a href="http://orientalreview.org/2015/01/14/how-chinas-balkan-silk-road-can-resurrect-south-stream/">interrupt </a>the Balkan Silk Road &ndash; essential for China&rsquo;s integrated trade/commerce with Eastern Europe.</p> <p>As the BRICS are the only, real counter power to Exceptionalistan, a strategy had to be developed for each of the major players. Everything was thrown at Russia &ndash; from sanctions to full demonization, from a raid on its currency to an oil price war, even including (pathetic) attempts to start a color revolution in the streets of Moscow. For a weaker BRICS node, a more subtle strategy would have to be developed. Which brings us to the complexity of Hybrid War as applied to the current, <strong>massive political/economic destabilization of Brazil.</strong></p> <p><strong>In the UW manual, swaying the perceptions of a vast <em>&ldquo;uncommitted middle population&rdquo;</em> is essential in the road to success, so these uncommitted eventually turn against their political leaders.</strong> The process encompasses everything from &ldquo;supporting insurgency&rdquo; (as in Syria) to <em>&ldquo;wider discontent through propaganda and political and psychological efforts to discredit the government&rdquo;</em> (as in Brazil). And as an insurrection escalates, so should the <em>&ldquo;intensification of propaganda; psychological preparation of the population for rebellion.&rdquo;</em> That, in a nutshell, has been the Brazilian case.</p> <h2><u>We need our own Saddam</u></h2> <p>Exceptionalistan&rsquo;s utmost strategic objective is usually to have a merger of color revolution and UW.<strong> But Brazil&rsquo;s civil society and vibrant democracy were too sophisticated for hardcore UW steps such as sanctions or R2P (<em>&ldquo;responsibility to protect&rdquo;</em>).</strong></p> <p><strong>It&rsquo;s no wonder that Sao Paulo was turned into the epicenter of the Hybrid War against Brazil.</strong> Sao Paulo, the wealthiest Brazilian state, also housing the economic/financial capital of Latin America, is the key node in an interlinked national/international power structure.</p> <p>The Wall Street-centered global financial system &ndash; which rules over virtually the whole West &ndash; simply could not allow national sovereignty in full expression in a major regional actor such as Brazil.</p> <p><strong>The Brazilian Spring, in the beginning, was virtually invisible,</strong> an exclusive social media phenomenon &ndash; just as Syria in early 2011.</p> <p><strong>Then, in June 2013, Edward Snowden leaked those notorious NSA spying practices.</strong> In Brazil, the NSA was all over Petrobras. And suddenly, out of the blue, a regional judge, Sergio Moro, based on a single source &ndash; a currency exchange operator in the black market &ndash; had access to a major Petrobras document dump. Up to now, the two-year Car Wash corruption investigation has not revealed how they got to know so much about what they dub the <em>&ldquo;criminal cell&rdquo;</em> acting inside Petrobras.</p> <p>What matters is that the color revolution modus operandi &ndash; a fight against corruption and <em>&ldquo;in defense of democracy&rdquo;</em> &ndash; was already in place. That was the first step of Hybrid War.</p> <p>As Exceptionalistan coined <em>&ldquo;good&rdquo;</em> and <em>&ldquo;bad&rdquo;</em> terrorists wreaking havoc across <em>&ldquo;Syraq&rdquo;</em>, <strong>in Brazil surged the figure of the <em>&ldquo;good&rdquo;</em> and the <em>&ldquo;bad&rdquo;</em> corrupt.</strong></p> <p><strong><em>Wikileaks also unveiled how Exceptionalistan doubted Brazil could design a nuclear submarine &ndash; a matter of national security. How construction company Odebrecht was going global. How Petrobras by itself developed the technology to explore the pre-salt deposits &ndash; the largest oil discovery of the young 21st century, of which Big Oil was excluded by none other than Lula.</em></strong></p> <p>Then, as a result of Snowden&rsquo;s revelations, the Rousseff administration required all government agencies to use state-owned companies for their technology services. <strong>This would mean that US companies could lose as much as $35 billion in revenue over two years</strong> as they would be deprived of business in the 7th largest economy in the world &ndash; as research group Information Technology &amp; Innovation Foundation discovered.</p> <h2><u>The future is happening now</u></h2> <p><strong>The march towards Hybrid War in Brazil had little do to with the political left or right</strong>. It was basically about mobilizing a few wealthy families that actually run the country; buy large swathes of Congress; control mainstream media; behave like 19th century slave plantation owners (slavery still permeates all social relations in Brazil); and legitimize it all via a hefty, yet bogus, intellectual tradition.</p> <p>They would give the signal for the mobilization of the middle class.</p> <p>Sociologist Jesse de Souza identified a Freudian <em>&ldquo;substitutive gratification&rdquo;</em> phenomenon under which the Brazilian middle class &ndash; with large swathes now clamoring for regime change &ndash; imitates the wealthy few as much as it&rsquo;s ruthlessly exploited by them, via mountains of taxes and sky-high interest rates.</p> <p><strong>The wealthy 0,0001% and the middle classes needed an Other to demonize &ndash; Exceptionalistan style. And what could be more perfect for the judicial-police-media-old comprador elite complex than the figure of a tropical Saddam Hussein: former President Lula.</strong></p> <p><u><strong>Ultra right-wing &ldquo;movements&rdquo; financed by the nefarious Koch Brothers suddenly popped up on social networks and street protests. </strong></u>The Brazilian attorney general visited the Empire of Chaos leading a Car Wash team to hand out Petrobras information that could prop up possible Department of Justice indictments.</p> <p><strong>Car Wash and the &ndash; immensely corrupt &ndash; Brazilian Congress, which will now deliberate over the possible impeachment of President Rousseff, revealed themselves as indistinguishable.</strong></p> <p>By then, the scriptwriters were sure that a regime change social infrastructure was already built into a critical anti-government mass, thus allowing the color revolution&rsquo;s full bloom.<strong><u> The way to a soft coup was paved</u></strong> &ndash; without even having to resort to lethal urban terrorism (as in Ukraine). The problem was that if the soft coup failed &ndash; as it now seems at least possible &ndash; it would be very hard to unleash a hard coup, Pinochet-style, via UW, against the beleaguered Rousseff administration; that is, finally accomplishing Full Hybrid War.</p> <p><strong>On a socioeconomic level, Car Wash would only be fully &ldquo;successful&rdquo; if mirrored by a softening up of Brazilian laws regulating oil exploration, opening it up for US Big Oil. And in parallel, all social spending programs would have to be smashed.</strong></p> <p><u><strong>Instead, what&rsquo;s happening now is the progressive mobilization of Brazilian civil society against a white coup/soft coup/regime change scenario. </strong></u>Crucial actors in Brazilian society are now firmly positioned against the impeachment of President Rousseff, from the Catholic church to evangelicals; first tier university professors; at least 15 state governors; masses of union workers and <em>&ldquo;informal economy&rdquo;</em> workers; artists; leading intellectuals; jurists; the overwhelming majority of lawyers; and last but not least, the <em>&ldquo;deep Brazil&rdquo;</em> that legally elected Rousseff with 54.5 million votes.</p> <p><strong>It ain&rsquo;t over till some fat man in the Brazilian Supreme Court sings. </strong> What&rsquo;s certain is that independent Brazilian academics are already laying down the theoretical bases to study Car Wash not as a mere, massive anti-corruption drive; but as the ultimate case study of Exceptionalistan&rsquo;s geopolitical strategy applied to a sophisticated globalized environment dominated by infotech and social networks. The whole developing world should be fully alert &ndash; and learn the relevant lessons, as <span style="text-decoration: underline;"><strong>Brazil is bound to be analyzed as the ultimate case of Soft Hybrid War.</strong></span></p> </div> <p>&nbsp;</p> <div class="field field-type-filefield field-field-image-teaser"> <div class="field-items"> <div class="field-item odd"> <img class="imagefield imagefield-field_image_teaser" width="460" height="276" alt="" src="http://www.zerohedge.com/sites/default/files/images/user5/imageroot/dilma%20teaser.jpg?1459686693" /> </div> </div> </div><br clear='all'/><br/><br/><a href="http://rc.feedsportal.com/r/247396692967/u/49/f/645423/c/34894/s/4eb04439/sc/24/rc/1/rc.htm" rel="nofollow"><img src="http://rc.feedsportal.com/r/247396692967/u/49/f/645423/c/34894/s/4eb04439/sc/24/rc/1/rc.img" border="0"/></a><br/><br/><a href="http://rc.feedsportal.com/r/247396692967/u/49/f/645423/c/34894/s/4eb04439/sc/24/rc/2/rc.htm" rel="nofollow"><img src="http://rc.feedsportal.com/r/247396692967/u/49/f/645423/c/34894/s/4eb04439/sc/24/rc/2/rc.img" border="0"/></a><br/><br/><a href="http://rc.feedsportal.com/r/247396692967/u/49/f/645423/c/34894/s/4eb04439/sc/24/rc/3/rc.htm" rel="nofollow"><img src="http://rc.feedsportal.com/r/247396692967/u/49/f/645423/c/34894/s/4eb04439/sc/24/rc/3/rc.img" border="0"/></a><br/><br/><a href="http://da.feedsportal.com/r/247396692967/u/49/f/645423/c/34894/s/4eb04439/sc/24/a2.htm"><img src="http://da.feedsportal.com/r/247396692967/u/49/f/645423/c/34894/s/4eb04439/sc/24/a2.img" border="0"/></a><img width="1" height="1" src="http://pi.feedsportal.com/r/247396692967/u/49/f/645423/c/34894/s/4eb04439/sc/24/a2t.img" border="0"/><img width='1' height='1' src='http://zerohedge.feedsportal.com/c/34894/f/645423/s/4eb04439/sc/24/mf.gif' border='0'/><img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/zerohedge/feed/~4/XnGWU2HUZmU" height="1" width="1" alt=""/>

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